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Golden Rules
The 12 Golden Rules for Successful Trading
1. Adopt a definite trading plan.
2. If you're not sure, don't trade.
3. You should be able to be right 40% of the time and still show
handsome profits.
4. Cut your losses and let your profits ride.
5. If you cannot afford to lose, you cannot afford to win.
6. Don't trade too many markets.
7. Don't trade in a market that is too thin.
8. Be aware of the trend. ("The Trend is your friend")
9. Don't attempt to buy the bottom or sell the top.
10. Never answer a margin call.
11. You can usually sell the first rally or buy the first break.
12. Never straddle a loss.
1. Adopt a definite trading plan.
Because of the emotional stress that is inherent in any speculative situation,
you must have a predetermined method of operation, which includes a set of rules
by which you operate and adhere to, thus protecting you from yourself. Very
often, your emotions will tell you to do something totally foreign or negative
to what your market trading plan should be. It is only by adhering to a preconceived
formula that you can resist the emotional temptations and stresses that are
constantly present in a speculative situation
2. If you're not sure, don't trade.
If you're in a trade and feel unsure of yourself, take your loss or protect
your profit with a stop. If you are unsure of a position, you will be influenced
by a multitude of extraneous and unimportant details and will probably end up
taking a loss.
3. You should be able to be right 40% of the time and still
show handsome profits.
In speculating, it would be folly to expect to be right every time. An individual
with the proper trading techniques should be able to cut his losses short and
let his profits run so that even being right less than half the time will show
excellent profits. This point is re-emphasized in Rule Four.
4. Cut your losses and let your profits ride.
The basic failing of most speculators is that they put a limit on their profits
and no limit on their losses. A man hates to admit he's wrong. Therefore, an
individual will often let his loss ride, becoming larger and larger in hopes
that eventually the market will turn around and prove him correct. Then after
a while, he begins hoping for a small loss and gives up hoping for a profit.
Human nature also dictates that an individual wants to take his profit right
away and thus prove himself correct. There is an old saying, "You never
go broke taking a small profit." But you'll certainly never get rich that
way. Being satisfied with small profits is the wrong mental approach for making
money in speculation. If you are correct when entering a speculative situation,
you will know it almost immediately and will show a profit quickly. However,
if you are wrong, you will show a loss and you should remove yourself from the
situation quickly. Taking a small loss does not necessarily mean you were wrong
in your thinking. It simply means that your timing was perhaps incorrect and
that you should wait for the correct timing and situation to allow you to reenter
the market. Remember, in any speculative situation, the market is the final
judge. An individual must let the market tell him when he is wrong and when
he is right. If you show a profit, ride it until the market turns around and
tells you that you are no longer right, and, at that time, you should get out...but
not before! On the other hand, the market will also tell you if you are wrong
and it would be a serious mistake to argue with what it is saying.
5. If you cannot afford to lose, you cannot afford to win.
As we have stated in Rule Four, losing is a natural part of trading. If you
are not in a position to accept losses, either psychologically or financially,
you have no business trading. In addition, trading should be done only with
surplus funds that are not vital to daily expenses.
6. Don't trade too many markets.
It is difficult to successfully trade and understand a specific market. It
is next to impossible for an individual, especially a beginner, to be successful
in several markets at the same time. The fundamental, technical, and psychological
information necessary to trade successfully in more than a few markets is more
than the individual has either the time or ability to accumulate.
7. Don't trade in a market that is too thin.
A lack of public participation in a market will make it difficult, if not impossible,
to liquidate a position at anywhere near the price you want.
8. Be aware of the trend. ("The Trend is your friend")
It is vitally important that a trader be aware of a strong force in the market,
either bullish or bearish. When this force is at its height, it would be folly
to attempt to buck it. However, one must learn to recognize when a trend is
about to run its course or is near a period of exhaustion. By an ability to
recognize the early signs of exhaustion, the trader will protect himself from
staying in the market too long and will be able to change direction when the
trend changes.
9. Don't attempt to buy the bottom or sell the top.
It simply can't be done unless you have the aid of a crystal ball or some other
tool which could be peculiar to the mystic. Be content to wait for the trend
to develop and then take advantage of it once it has been established.
10. Never answer a margin call.
This rule acts as a stop loss when your position has weakened considerably.
By dogmatically and arbitrarily adhering to this rule, you will be forced to
get out of the market before disaster sets it. It is often difficult to admit
you're wrong and get out of the market (which you probably should have done
well before you received a margin call). However, the presence of a margin call
should act as a final warning that you have let your position go as far as you
conceivably can (unless the initial margin is out of line with the volatility
of the contract).
11. You can usually sell the first rally or buy the first
break.
Generally, a market which has just established a trend either up or down will
have a reaction and good interim profits can be made by recognizing this reaction
and taking advantage of it. For example, in a bull market, the first reaction
will generally be met by investors waiting to buy the break. This support generally
causes the market to rally. The reverse is true of a bear market.
12. Never straddle a loss.
A loss by itself is difficult enough to accept. However, to lock in this loss,
thus making it necessary for you to be right twice rather than the once (which
you previously found impossible) is sheer absurdity.
While the following are not specific trading rules, they are general observations
which will aid the speculator in formulating an understanding of markets:
You must retain control of the situation and yourself. Do not allow your position
to control you. It is a mistake to find yourself in a position larger than you
can reasonable handle. When this occurs, you will find that the sheer size of
the position, rather than the facts of the situation itself, affects your judgement.
The commodity does not know that you own it. You must remain impersonal in
your trading. When you take a position and you are wrong, remember it is better
to get out immediately! The market will not feed badly about it if you do, but
you will if you don't.
The market always looks its worst at its bottom, and the best at the top. It
is important to remember that before the market turns around, it is at its very
worst. Therefore, be prepared to treat each day objectively by not allowing
the emotional fever to carry over and cloud your judgment.
Equity...Equity...Equity...Not Cash. If a man is long from 100 points below
the market and you are long from the opening that day, you both had the same
amount invested in the market from the time both of you were long. Therefore,
if the market goes up ten points, you each have made the same amount that day.
If the market goes down 10 points, you have each lost the same amount. You should
not be confused by the fact that someone has taken a position before you. You
must be concerned with your own situation primarily. Each day, start fresh.
Your paper profits or losses from previous days should not enter into your decisions
regarding the course of action you will take.
Treat paper profits as if they are your own money. They are! Naturally, the
opposite also holds true.
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